BT Research

We believe that informed decisions come from timely insights. BT Research offers quick access to key macroeconomic indicators, market outlook, and economic analyses that shape Romania's financial landscape.

1.40%

Real GDP Growth

9.80%

Inflation

Unemployment

6.00%

Government Deficit | %GDP

-8.70%

Government Debt | %GDP

57.30%

Confidence Indicator

93.10

EUR/RON Exchange Rates

5.09

NBR Policy Rate

6.50%

3M Interbank Rate

6.19%

Trade Balance | BN EUR

-3.01

Romania’s Economic Pulse: December 2025

Romania's GDP increased by 0.80% in the first 9 months of the year, inflation (CPI) remains elevated at 9.80% YoY, while unemployment stands stable at 6.00%. The government deficit is at -6.40% of GDP in November, an improvement versus -7.15% of GDP from November 2024. The confidence indicator has fallen to 93.10, signaling reduced confidence.

The EUR/RON exchange rate remained broadly stable at around 5.09. The National Bank of Romania kept the policy rate unchanged at 6.50%, while short-term money market conditions eased, with the 3-month ROBOR decreasing to 6.19%. The trade deficit persists, though it has narrowed compared with the same period last year.