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    BT Research

    We believe that informed decisions come from timely insights. BT Research offers quick access to key macroeconomic indicators, market outlook, and economic analyses that shape Romania's financial landscape.

    1.50%
    The data displayed are for informational purposes only and are sourced from NIS and Eurostat. Please use them thoughtfully and refer to multiple sources in the decision-making process. Updated on February 11, 2026.
    Real GDP Growth
    9.70%
    Inflation (HICP)
    Unemployment
    6.00%
    Government Deficit | %GDP
    -7.30%
    Government Debt | %GDP
    58.90%
    Confidence Indicator
    92.30
    EUR/RON Exchange Rates
    5.09
    NBR Policy Rate
    6.50%
    3M Interbank Rate
    5.98%
    Trade Balance | BN EUR
    -2.26

    Romania’s Economic Pulse: January 2025

    Romania's GDP increased by 0.90% in the first 9 months of the year, inflation (CPI) closes the year at 9.70% YoY with an average of 7.30% for 2025, while unemployment stands stable at 6.00%. The government deficit (cash standard) was -7.65% in December, an improvement versus -8.67% of GDP from December 2024. The confidence indicator has fallen to 92.30, signaling reduced confidence.

    The EUR/RON exchange rate remained broadly stable at around 5.09. The National Bank of Romania kept the policy rate unchanged at 6.50%, while short-term money market conditions eased, with the 3-month ROBOR decreasing to 5.87% at the end of January and with a monthly average of 5.98%. The trade deficit narrowed in November (29.7 billion euros) compared with the same period last year.

    Ioan Nistor


    , Chief Economist, Banca Transilvania

    Romania’s Economic Pulse: January 2025Romania’s Economic Pulse: January 2025

    Ioan Nistor


    , Chief Economist, Banca Transilvania

    Macroeconomic Indicators Graph

    icon information directionReal GDP Growth
    image info tooltip triangleThe GDP is the total of all value added created in the economy (final goods and services) during a specific period.

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    AI Search is a pilot project—currently in beta—that uses GPT-5 technology to simplify the process of searching for and understanding banking products.

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